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The "birth dearth": when it comes to analyzing world population, it''s a numbers game.(Currents)

Publication: E
Publication Date: 01-SEP-03
Format: Online - approximately 1031 words
Delivery: Immediate Online Access

Article Excerpt
It's easy enough to make the world population explosion go away: Start with the "birth dearth" that could cause Europe to lose 24 percent of its population by 2060, and cut Japan's in half by 2100. In England, women have an average of 1.7 children, below replacement level. In Spain, the rate...

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...fertility is 1.15--the lowest rate in the world. Stir in the fact that the United Nations (UN) recently revised a minor course correction in its population projections, finding that AIDS and declining fertility rates in the Third World will lead to 400 million fewer people sharing the planet by 2050.

The usual suspects are seizing on the information and declaring the population crisis over and its major voices discredited. "The idea that unbridled population growth will lead to environmental and social disasters as the world meets its 'carrying capacity' is a holy canon of the environmental movement," read an editorial in...

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