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NEW COMPLEXITIES AND NEW RISKS AS HONDURAS COUP STALEMATE ENTERS ITS SECOND MONTH.

Publication: NotiCen: Central American & Caribbean Affairs
Publication Date: 06-AUG-09
Format: Online
Delivery: Immediate Online Access

Article Excerpt
Costa Rica's President Oscar Arias, sitting as mediator in the talks meant to resolve the crisis in Honduras brought on by the golpe de estado and exile of President Manuel Zelaya, has admitted failure for a second time. Arias added a few points to a seven-point plan to restore Zelaya under restrictions, but as before, the sides rejected it (see NotiCen, 2009-07-09). Now, Arias says, Honduras may be on its way to becoming "the Albania or the North Korea of Central America."

The 1987 Nobel Peace Prize laureate was joined in disappointment by Zelaya, who had positioned himself at the Nicaraguan border to return to his country come what may but who was turned back and threatened with arrest by the military.

But before Honduras becomes a North Korea, other avenues remain to be explored. Rixi Moncada led the Zelaya delegation in the talks; she had been Zelaya's energy minister. She said, "The only purpose of the negotiations was to exhaust the option so that the Organization of American States (OAS) could take charge of the discussions.

The only purpose of the negotiations was to make the OAS resolution effective."

The OAS wields the power to apply sanctions, opening the door to the UN Security Council and the Sistema de Integracion Centroamericana (SICA) to do likewise. Arias is president pro tem of SICA. Also, the US, which in many ways holds the keys to Honduras' viability, would necessarily be obligated to join in a united front of sanctions.

While interpreting events in a way favorable to Zelaya's hope of return, Moncada simultaneously blamed the forces of de facto President Roberto Micheletti for the collapse of negotiations. Micheletti held to his position that Zelaya is welcome to return but only to face the courts for violations of...

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