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The Ombudsman: forecasting conflict resolution. Is it worth asking an expert?

Publication: Interfaces
Publication Date: 01-MAY-07
Format: Online
Delivery: Immediate Online Access
Full Article Title: The Ombudsman: forecasting conflict resolution. Is it worth asking an expert?(Column)

Article Excerpt
All good fiction writers know that a story seldom interests readers if it does not involve conflict-conflicts between individuals, institutions, nations, and between all of these and natural forces. Our interest in life mirrors this. Good news is no news; our media reports on strikes, international disagreements, legal disputes, terrorism, and political antagonism every day.

Our interest in these conflicts, and in their resolution, can be more than a passing curiosity. Correctly anticipating a dispute's outcome can be advantageous. Accurately foreseeing the resolutions of international or civil conflicts could save lives or avert human suffering. Correctly forecasting the results of a dispute, which is currently depressing the...

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